Forecasts/trends

World Economic Forum  Travel & Tourism Competitive Report (2017):  The headline positions from this biennial report from the World Economic Forum are often quoted as an indicator of the UK’s travel and tourism’s international competitiveness.  UK retains 5th position overall behind Spain, France, Germany and Japan (up from 9th and pushing USA from 4th to 6th).  Other points of note are:

  • The UK’s Tourism Service Infrastructure has improved markedly from 37th to 7th due to major up-ratings of rental car companies and ATM availability.
  • The UK’s safety rating has slipped from 63rd to 78th
  • The UK’s international openness has slipped from 11thto 20th
  • The UK’s Price competitiveness remains the second from the bottom behind that of Switzerland
  • The UK still ranks at the bottom of the table for Airport charges and fuel  prices

The executive summary is at page 15 of 387:

2017 World Economic Forum Travel and Tourism Competitive Report

UK Hotel Forecast 2017 (2016): This PwC report on the prospects for the UK hotels in 2017 states that, “while the full impact of the UK vote to leave the EU will not be known for some time, economic growth is expected to slow. A weak pound should provide a boost to inbound leisure travel, but security concerns, tight corporate travel budgets, above average supply growth (especially in London) and consumer and corporate uncertainty could create an unfavorable backdrop. We retain a cautious outlook”:

2016-pwc-uk-hotels-forecast-2017

Retail 2020 Fewer but better jobs (2016)

The first of three reports from the British Retail Consortium (BRC). “Retail is an important industry to the UK economy. It is the largest private sector employer, providing employment and services in communities across the country” . It’s also a changing industry which can and will respond, however the report acknowledges that, “Areas that are already economically fragile are likely to see the greatest impact of store closures and some of the people affected by changing roles will be those who may find it hardest to transition into new jobs that are created”:

2016 Retail 2020 – Fewer but better jobs

The Future of Chinese Travel (2015)

This InterContinental Hotels Group report produced by Tourism Economics examines trends in Chinese outbound travel in the context of economic and demographic developments and projects how Chinese travel demand will evolve over the coming decade:

2015 InterContinental Hotels Group report The Future of Chinese Travel

ONS Estimates of the economic importance of tourism 2008 – 2013 (2014)

This report from the Office of National Statistics (ONS) Tourism Intelligence Unit  presents a ‘nowcast’ technique to provide estimates of the key aggregate measures of the value of tourism for 2012 and 2013, based on the UK Tourism Satellite Account for 2011.

2014 ONS Estimates of the economic importance of tourism 2008 – 2013

VE Visitor Attraction Trends in England 2013 (2014).  This report presents the findings of the Survey of Visits to Visitor Attractions undertaken in England by VisitEngland.  The report provides a comprehensive England-wide analysis of trends plus visit data to individual attractions:

2014 Visitor Attraction Trends in England 2013

VE Trends in Domestic Leisure Tourism the Next Decade a workshop pack (2014).   A self-presentation workshop pack from VE covering the detail of their late 2013 Domestic Trends for the Next Decade report (full report is also  posted amongst the 2013 reports below):

2014 VE Trends in Domestic Leisure Tourism the Next Decade – workshop pack

VE Trends in Domestic Leisure Tourism the Next Decade a workshop pack (2014).   A self-presentation workshop pack from VE covering the detail of their late 2013 Domestic Trends for the Next Decade report (full report is also  posted amongst the 2013 reports below):

2014 Staycation Summary Qualative Research Nov 2013

and the full report:

2014 Staycation full Qualative Research report Nov 2013

Domestic Leisure Trends for the Next Decade (2013). Produced by VisitEngland this report summarises the trends identified and presents them in five groups – demographic, economic, technological, consumer and tourism-related. They range from the familiar, such as the increased importance of mobile technology, through to more recent developments such as FOMO, the ‘fear of missing out’ and the rise of the ‘individualocracy’:

2013 Domestic-leisure-trends-for-the-next-decade

The direct links to all the latest update including forecasts and trends from all the National Tourist Boards can be found on one page in the member’s protected pagehttps://britishdestinations.net/members-area/latest-news-and-statistics-from-the-national-tourist-boards/


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